Opinionated @ CFE

The Illusion of Security

Dec
30

How many people do you know with a burglar alarm in their home? Now think about how many people have one of those home security signs in their window or on their lawn. Most of you probably came up with two different numbers. Many homeowners figure that the cheaper solution of a $5 sign will deter enough people to justify not spending hundreds or thousands on a system along with the requisite monthly fees. It gives the appearance of security without any of the expense. So goes the federal approach to domestic security, except we’re paying security system prices for the lawn sign. We are being given the appearance of security with fancy screening machines, onerous rules, and a color-coded warning system that has only ever used two of the five colors.

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Fixing the 2010 Budget

Dec
10

Utah finds itself in yet another deep budget hole, this time to the tune of nearly $1B. This, of course, sets of the debate of if the Legislature should cut spending, raise taxes, or a bit of both. Sen. Steve Urquhart, who I have tremendous respect for, has called for his colleagues to oppose any new tax increases, focusing instead on finding places to make cuts. His rationale is that the rate of growth in state government expenditures has outpaced population plus inflation. While this sounds like a sound argument, it doesn’t mesh with some stark realities.

The demand for state services is not a function of just population and nowhere is this more obvious than in our transportation budgets. As we continue to live in the burbs and commute to work, vehicle miles driven has actually grown as much as twice as fast as population. The cost of construction materials has also risen dramatically higher than inflation as China and India consume more of the world’s steel and concrete supply. Education has also taken a hit as more ESL students enter our school systems, students that have a significantly higher cost to educate. (Large immigrant populations account for a significant part of New York’s high education spending and drag their results down.) A rigid formula leaves little room to address these kinds of variances.

We should also consider that despite all of the posturing, Utah’s state budget has been fairly stable as a percentage of state GDP. During the last two decades, it has fluctuated from a low of 15.5% to a high of 17.2%. That is an amazing amount of restraint given the large surpluses that we had just a few years ago. Whether this is because of or despite the hand-wringing about state government spending is anyone’s guess, but the caricature of free-spending double-talkers seems better suited to Congresscritters than it does our state government.

While I can certainly appreciate the sentiment against raising taxes unnecessarily, you can’t just sweep that option off of the table wholesale. I hope our state representatives and senators will bear this in mind as they start making tough decisions next month.

A Scary Possibility for Sen. McCoy's Replacement

Dec
07

The Salt Lake County Democratic Party is currently in the process of accepting names for consideration for Sen. Scott McCoy’s replacement in the wake of his resignation. So far, only one name is listed on their website, hopefully as a joke: Mark E. Towner. Yes, that Mark Towner, the one of spamming, legal threats, and general pest fame. (As a side note, his most recent legal threat against me resulted in, unsurprisingly, total inaction.) I know the Democratic Party has to accept any application that meets their minimum (and I do mean minimum) requirements, but it’s no less embarrassing than Superdell getting on the Libertarian ticket.

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